Burnley look overpriced at 19/5 to inflict a 4th defeat in a row against Southampton at Turf Moor on Saturday afternoon. Even though I am in no doubt The Saints are the better class team at the odds I just cannot resist the home side, Ronald Koeman has done a superb job at Southampton this season and could really do with 3 points after the losses to Man City, Arsenal and unluckily to Man United but this will be a tough encounter for his side.
Chelsea should overcome Hull but 1/6 is hardly a way to get rich once again the value at 3/1 is draw half time Chelsea full time and hope Steve Bruce’s well organised side can last to half time which would give you a value wager. It looks hard to call anything other than a Chelsea win here as they look to regain winning ways in the Premier League after last week’s shock first defeat of the season to Newcastle United.
Crystal Palace against Stoke looks value to end all square at 11/5 at Selhurst Park, both sides will probably be set up not to lose and a stalemate is the most likely outcome yet is the biggest price of the 3 possible results.
Manchester City will be popular to beat Leicester following their heroic win in Rome but at 1/2 are very short to get the 3 points most expect them to. Leicester, who shocked Manchester United earlier in the season, are 11/2 for a highly unlikely double Manchester scalp with a draw 7/2. City are going to really miss Aguero whom is absent for longer than expected but Silva looks to be on his way back and made a late substitutes appearance on Wednesday.
The West Midlands Derby is likely to be a robust affair and Villa are surely value to leave The Hawthorns with 3 points at 12/5. The Baggies have been very up and down as usual this season and are plenty short enough here at 23/20.
Newcastle continued their strange set of results against Chelsea last week and face two trips to North London in next few days facing Arsenal at Emirates where they are 6/1 for a further shock 3 points and then meet Tottenham at White Hart Lane in Capital One Cup last 8 clash at White Hart Lane on Wednesday. Mystic Meg couldn’t have predicted Newcastle’s results this season, but plenty will see them as the value play in Saturday night’s live Sky clash where Arsenal are 9/20 which seems very short and the draw a tempting 100/30.
Manchester United are 4/5 to make it 6 on the spin against Liverpool at Old Trafford on Sunday afternoon and despite their unconvincing displays in recent matches, have suddenly crept up into title contention even if nobody even in or outside Old Trafford fancies them to win League. No European football could yet have a big say in their chances and they are suddenly back in the top 3 for first time since Fergie retired and are winning ugly under Van Gaal. Robin Van Persie has suddenly from nowhere found form and looks a big price at 9/2 to score first goal on Sunday at Old Trafford in a match that usually produces great drama.
Liverpool are there for the taking for United on Sunday and if you don’t like 4/5 you can take 13/8 for them to be winning half time and full time even at a big price of 100/30. I haven’t heard of any big money on Liverpool as even their most loyal fans are still suffering the shock Champions League exit to Basle, and their fans know they have two potential banana skin cup ties coming up at Bournemouth next week in Capital One Cup last 8 and at AFC Wimbledon in FA Cup 3rd Round, they can’t afford to lose neither of these or against United for whom they still regard as their fierce rivals, so Old Trafford is the last place they would want to be playing this weekend!
Tottenham have a dreadful record after Europa League nights and Thursday’s trip to Turkey was a horrible night for them both on and off the field. Swansea will fancy their chances at 6/4 but I fancy Spurs at 9/5 if they play like they did in recent trip to Chelsea for first 20 mins rather than how they did against Crystal Palace last weekend at White Hart Lane.
Everton will field many changes from Europa League side that lost on Thursday, while QPR need to get something on the road and at 13/2 they look a big price at Goodison on Monday while an Everton win, the most likely result, looks on the short side at 4/9 this will be tougher than the odds suggest for the home team with Rangers 100/30 to nick a point.